November home sales rise 73%: CREA
Sales of existing homes were up 73 per cent in November compared to last year's level, the Canadian Real Estate Association said Tuesday.
A total of 36,383 residential properties traded hands via the association's Multiple Listing Service of homes for sale. That was only 0.4 per cent off of the all-time high for November sales activity that was set in 2007. New monthly sales records were set in Ontario and Quebec.
"For housing, the recession was oh so last year," BMO economist Doug Porter said in a report released Tuesday, entitled It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like a Bubble.
The national average price gained 19 per cent compared to November 2008, at $337,231, the CREA said Tuesday. Year to date, the average price rose 4.4 per cent compared to the same period last year. But the average price in Canada's major markets was up 20 per cent year-over-year, to $368,665. Nationally, the average price in November edged back from the peak reached in October.
But Porter stopped short of calling an outright real estate bubble, noting that the reported price change was skewed by the surge in Vancouver and Toronto sales, two of the priciest markets.
"Using a fixed-weight measure, average home prices in the major markets have risen by a milder 11 per cent year over year - still robust, but short of a warning-bell-ringing pace," Porter noted.
Still, because home sales were extraordinarily weak for four months beginning in November 2008, "this will be but the first in a string of China-style gains for Canadian home sales and prices," Porter said.
Boost in new listings
Strong demand and price increases appear to be drawing more sellers into the market. New listings on the MLS system rose five per cent on a month-over-month basis in November to 69,110 units, the biggest monthly increase since January 2008.
But the surge in new listings hasn't pushed inventories higher, as much of the new housing stock is being gobbled up by buyers eagers to capitalize on record low interest rates.
There were 183,710 homes listed for sale on MLS at the end of November 2009. This is down 23 per cent from levels reported one year ago, and the seventh month in a row in which inventories have declined from year-ago levels. An increase is normal at this time of year, since demand tends to ease relative to supply over autumn and winter months.
Nationally, there were four months of inventory in November 2009 on a seasonally adjusted basis, the lowest level in more than two years.
Since the beginning of 2009, some 437,507 homes have been sold on the MLS system
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
Interst rates may rise despite BoC deadline
Interest rates may rise despite BoC deadline
Scotia economist warns of bond, mortgage hikes
Jonathan Chevreau, Financial Post Published: Thursday, December 10, 2009
Read more: http://www.nationalpost.com/news/story.html?id=2323217#ixzz0ZhT6MHQc
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Bond yields and mortgage rates could head higher before the Bank of Canada's pledge to hold interest rates steady expires in July, the chief economist at Bank of Nova Scotia said this week.
"There's a very good chance long-term rates will head up before then," Warren Jestin said in Toronto at a briefing sponsored by the Investment Funds Institute of Canada.
He warned new homeowners with variable-rate mortgages not to be influenced by the central bank's neutral statements on rates on Tuesday. The bank has pledged to hold rates at a historic low of 0.25% until the end of the second quarter of next year, inflation conditions permitting.
Read the "fine print" and he believes it's likely three-year and five-year mortgage rates will be higher before July 2010.
Mr. Jestin does not foresee a double-dip recession. "Those who expect renewed recession next spring will be proved wrong." For North America, "2010 is a year we fill in the hole we dug for ourselves in one of the most vicious recessions in our lives." But the global economy will grow at a "slower rate than we'd consider normal a few years ago. We believe expansion won't be that strong in 2011 so we don't see rates continuing up in 2011."
Christopher Probyn, managing director and chief economist for State Street Global Advisors, expects the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 0.75% to 1.5% in the second half of 2010. However, he said inflation may run surprisingly low so the Fed could "be on hold much longer than people anticipate."
The 2008-2009 period was by far the worst economy since the International Monetary Fund started collecting data in 1970. "For the first time, there was a contraction in the global economy." Growth in world gross domestic product fell from over 5% in 2007 to 3% in 2008 but went to -2.5% in 2009.
The low was the first quarter of 2009, when the economy contracted at a rate of 6% annualized. But it was flat in the second quarter and returned to positive growth in the third, "so throughout 2009 there has been progressive improvement."
Mr. Probyn foresees a sustained but "rather gradual" recovery, with GDP expanding 2.5% in 2010. Last week's favorable employment report suggests the next stage in recovery may already have arrived. "Maybe we're very close to achieving stability in the labor market," Mr. Probyn said.
Like Mr. Jestin, he doesn't foresee a double-dip recession in 2010. He said the recovery is more likely to be U-shaped, with some bouncing along the bottom, than the instant rebound of a Vshaped comeback.
Scotia economist warns of bond, mortgage hikes
Jonathan Chevreau, Financial Post Published: Thursday, December 10, 2009
Read more: http://www.nationalpost.com/news/story.html?id=2323217#ixzz0ZhT6MHQc
The National Post is now on Facebook. Join our fan community today.
Bond yields and mortgage rates could head higher before the Bank of Canada's pledge to hold interest rates steady expires in July, the chief economist at Bank of Nova Scotia said this week.
"There's a very good chance long-term rates will head up before then," Warren Jestin said in Toronto at a briefing sponsored by the Investment Funds Institute of Canada.
He warned new homeowners with variable-rate mortgages not to be influenced by the central bank's neutral statements on rates on Tuesday. The bank has pledged to hold rates at a historic low of 0.25% until the end of the second quarter of next year, inflation conditions permitting.
Read the "fine print" and he believes it's likely three-year and five-year mortgage rates will be higher before July 2010.
Mr. Jestin does not foresee a double-dip recession. "Those who expect renewed recession next spring will be proved wrong." For North America, "2010 is a year we fill in the hole we dug for ourselves in one of the most vicious recessions in our lives." But the global economy will grow at a "slower rate than we'd consider normal a few years ago. We believe expansion won't be that strong in 2011 so we don't see rates continuing up in 2011."
Christopher Probyn, managing director and chief economist for State Street Global Advisors, expects the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 0.75% to 1.5% in the second half of 2010. However, he said inflation may run surprisingly low so the Fed could "be on hold much longer than people anticipate."
The 2008-2009 period was by far the worst economy since the International Monetary Fund started collecting data in 1970. "For the first time, there was a contraction in the global economy." Growth in world gross domestic product fell from over 5% in 2007 to 3% in 2008 but went to -2.5% in 2009.
The low was the first quarter of 2009, when the economy contracted at a rate of 6% annualized. But it was flat in the second quarter and returned to positive growth in the third, "so throughout 2009 there has been progressive improvement."
Mr. Probyn foresees a sustained but "rather gradual" recovery, with GDP expanding 2.5% in 2010. Last week's favorable employment report suggests the next stage in recovery may already have arrived. "Maybe we're very close to achieving stability in the labor market," Mr. Probyn said.
Like Mr. Jestin, he doesn't foresee a double-dip recession in 2010. He said the recovery is more likely to be U-shaped, with some bouncing along the bottom, than the instant rebound of a Vshaped comeback.
Sunday, December 13, 2009
Housing Starts Hit their Highest Level This Year
Tavia Grant
Published on Tuesday, Dec. 08, 2009 8:17AM EST Last updated on Tuesday, Dec. 08, 2009 8:33AM EST
Housing starts hit their highest level this year in November, more proof that Canada's real-estate market has clawed out of recession.
Starts rose slightly to 158,500 units, on a seasonally adjusted basis, up from 157,400 in October as single-home construction outweighed a drop in multiple home activity, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said Tuesday.
“The improvement in housing starts continued in November,” said Bob Dugan, CMHC's chief economist.
The results were slightly less than the 165,000 starts economists had expected. Still, they're running at a much stronger level than in April, when they sunk to the 118,500 mark.
Record low interest rates are fuelling a rebound in Canada's real-estate market, spurring rising prices and a flurry of buying activity. The Bank of Canada will provide its current view of lending rates and the economy today at 9 a.m. Eastern time.
More builders have plans in the works, a report showed yesterday. Building permits jumped 18 per cent in October to the highest value in 13 months, Statistics Canada said yesterday.
Multiple starts eased in November, CMHC said, to 71,300 units from 72,500 units a month earlier. Single starts rose 3.4 per cent to 69,800 units.
The annual rate of urban starts has risen the most in Quebec, at 10 per cent, followed by Atlantic Canada.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/housing-starts-hit-2009-high/article1392416/
Published on Tuesday, Dec. 08, 2009 8:17AM EST Last updated on Tuesday, Dec. 08, 2009 8:33AM EST
Housing starts hit their highest level this year in November, more proof that Canada's real-estate market has clawed out of recession.
Starts rose slightly to 158,500 units, on a seasonally adjusted basis, up from 157,400 in October as single-home construction outweighed a drop in multiple home activity, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said Tuesday.
“The improvement in housing starts continued in November,” said Bob Dugan, CMHC's chief economist.
The results were slightly less than the 165,000 starts economists had expected. Still, they're running at a much stronger level than in April, when they sunk to the 118,500 mark.
Record low interest rates are fuelling a rebound in Canada's real-estate market, spurring rising prices and a flurry of buying activity. The Bank of Canada will provide its current view of lending rates and the economy today at 9 a.m. Eastern time.
More builders have plans in the works, a report showed yesterday. Building permits jumped 18 per cent in October to the highest value in 13 months, Statistics Canada said yesterday.
Multiple starts eased in November, CMHC said, to 71,300 units from 72,500 units a month earlier. Single starts rose 3.4 per cent to 69,800 units.
The annual rate of urban starts has risen the most in Quebec, at 10 per cent, followed by Atlantic Canada.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/housing-starts-hit-2009-high/article1392416/
Bank of Canada Forcast
Louise Egan
Ottawa — Reuters Published on Sunday, Dec. 06, 2009 10:57AM EST Last updated on Sunday, Dec. 06, 2009 4:56PM EST
The Bank of Canada is widely expected to keep its hands off interest rates Tuesday, holding them at near zero and committing to do so until at least July, despite growing evidence the economy is kicking back to life.
Fears of prolonged economic stagnation eased Friday with a report showing employers hired five times as many workers as expected. The data supported the Bank of Canada's view that economic growth will speed up in the fourth quarter after a disappointing third-quarter, when it barely crept out of recession with tepid 0.4 per cent annualized growth.
All 12 of Canada's primary securities dealers , surveyed by Reuters after the jobs report Friday, forecast the central bank would hold its overnight target rate unchanged at 0.25 per cent at its final policy-setting meeting of the year.
The bank releases its rate decision and accompanying statement at 9 a.m. ET Tuesday.
Two-thirds of the traders think the bank will follow through on its pledge to hold rates at that level through mid-2010, conditional on inflation staying on track.
“They will lean over backward to make their conditional forecast come true,” said David Laidler, an economist with the C.D. Howe Institute.
“What they might start doing between now and June or July, is they might start making more and more public noises about the need to raise interest rates immediately afterward. That's the kind of thing you'll see but not in this announcement,” he said.
Others think the bank's job will be to dampen any speculation that it will abandon its zero-rate policy at the earliest opportunity.
“We expect the bank to attempt to temper early rate hike expectations at next Tuesday's policy announcement,” said Sheryl King, head of Canadian economics and strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
The Bank of Canada will be pleased with the November job gains, not just because its prophecy of a robust 3.3 per cent fourth quarter may be fulfilled but because it lessens the bank's concerns about the strong Canadian dollar hindering a robust recovery.
Ottawa — Reuters Published on Sunday, Dec. 06, 2009 10:57AM EST Last updated on Sunday, Dec. 06, 2009 4:56PM EST
The Bank of Canada is widely expected to keep its hands off interest rates Tuesday, holding them at near zero and committing to do so until at least July, despite growing evidence the economy is kicking back to life.
Fears of prolonged economic stagnation eased Friday with a report showing employers hired five times as many workers as expected. The data supported the Bank of Canada's view that economic growth will speed up in the fourth quarter after a disappointing third-quarter, when it barely crept out of recession with tepid 0.4 per cent annualized growth.
All 12 of Canada's primary securities dealers , surveyed by Reuters after the jobs report Friday, forecast the central bank would hold its overnight target rate unchanged at 0.25 per cent at its final policy-setting meeting of the year.
The bank releases its rate decision and accompanying statement at 9 a.m. ET Tuesday.
Two-thirds of the traders think the bank will follow through on its pledge to hold rates at that level through mid-2010, conditional on inflation staying on track.
“They will lean over backward to make their conditional forecast come true,” said David Laidler, an economist with the C.D. Howe Institute.
“What they might start doing between now and June or July, is they might start making more and more public noises about the need to raise interest rates immediately afterward. That's the kind of thing you'll see but not in this announcement,” he said.
Others think the bank's job will be to dampen any speculation that it will abandon its zero-rate policy at the earliest opportunity.
“We expect the bank to attempt to temper early rate hike expectations at next Tuesday's policy announcement,” said Sheryl King, head of Canadian economics and strategy at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
The Bank of Canada will be pleased with the November job gains, not just because its prophecy of a robust 3.3 per cent fourth quarter may be fulfilled but because it lessens the bank's concerns about the strong Canadian dollar hindering a robust recovery.
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
7 Ways to Raise Your Creidt Score
7 Ways To Raise Your Credit Score Posted on November 23, 2009 by Kerry
If you're in the market for a mortgage, a car loan, or looking to rent an apartment, it may be time to check your credit score.
A credit score is an ever changing three-digit number between 300 and 900. The higher your number, the more likely you are to be approved for a loan or to negotiate a preferred interest rate. If your credit score is low, you may pay higher rates or be denied credit based on the lender's criteria.
Check out the 5 Minute Guide to Your Credit Report and Credit Score to learn how to find your score.
Your credit score is an important piece of financial information. It's used by lenders, insurers, and landlords to gauge your credit behaviour and determine if you're a good candidate for credit. If you've lost out on an apartment or been denied a loan recently, it may be your credit score that's holding you back.
But don't worry if your score is low, there are ways to improve it. Since your credit score is recalculated continuously to reflect your recent bill payments and debt levels, your score from a month ago is probably not the same score today. Here are seven ways to raise your credit score:
1. Check your credit score at BOTH credit reporting agencies.
Your credit score can vary between Canada's two major credit reporting agencies, Equifax and TransUnion. Each agency uses different credit data as well as a slightly different credit scoring model to tally your number. If you're being denied credit, it may be that one agency is reporting differently. Checking your credit report and score at both agencies can also help you detect any fraudulent activity or possible instances of identity theft.
2. Report and correct any inaccuracies.
Don't let your credit score suffer due to inaccurate information on your file. Be proactive and protect yourself by reviewing your credit files. If you find an inaccuracy, contact the creditor or the credit reporting agency to correct it immediately.
3. Pay all your bills on time.
Lenders look for patterns and love to see a solid history of paying every bill on time. Any late credit card payments, collections, or bankruptcies can significantly lower your credit score -- so be punctual with each bill payment to raise your score.
Check out these 5 Ways to Beat Your Credit Card Debt for some score raising tips!
4. Watch your debt.
Don't run your credit balances close to your limit! Staying below half your available credit limit can help to improve your score sooner. For example, if you have a credit card with a $5,000 limit, try to keep the balance owed below $2,500.
5. Avoid applying for credit.
When you apply for credit, a "hard query" may be made to your report by the lender to check your creditworthiness. Too many "hard queries" in a short period of time can lower your score, so stick to applying for credit only when you need it. Checking your own score won't lower your score since this is a "soft query". Applying for a lot of credit may be interpreted as a sign of financial difficulty, which can impact your score as well.
6. Give yourself some time.
Time can improve your credit score, especially if you can establish a long history of paying bills on time and being responsible with credit. Negative factors such as bankruptcies, collections, or foreclosures drop off your report after a number of years, depending on your home province or territory.
7. Don't close old accounts.
It may seem counterintuitive to us, but unused credit is a good thing in the eyes of a credit reporting agency and lowering the amount of money you can borrow relative to your debt can impact your score.
If you're in the market for a mortgage, a car loan, or looking to rent an apartment, it may be time to check your credit score.
A credit score is an ever changing three-digit number between 300 and 900. The higher your number, the more likely you are to be approved for a loan or to negotiate a preferred interest rate. If your credit score is low, you may pay higher rates or be denied credit based on the lender's criteria.
Check out the 5 Minute Guide to Your Credit Report and Credit Score to learn how to find your score.
Your credit score is an important piece of financial information. It's used by lenders, insurers, and landlords to gauge your credit behaviour and determine if you're a good candidate for credit. If you've lost out on an apartment or been denied a loan recently, it may be your credit score that's holding you back.
But don't worry if your score is low, there are ways to improve it. Since your credit score is recalculated continuously to reflect your recent bill payments and debt levels, your score from a month ago is probably not the same score today. Here are seven ways to raise your credit score:
1. Check your credit score at BOTH credit reporting agencies.
Your credit score can vary between Canada's two major credit reporting agencies, Equifax and TransUnion. Each agency uses different credit data as well as a slightly different credit scoring model to tally your number. If you're being denied credit, it may be that one agency is reporting differently. Checking your credit report and score at both agencies can also help you detect any fraudulent activity or possible instances of identity theft.
2. Report and correct any inaccuracies.
Don't let your credit score suffer due to inaccurate information on your file. Be proactive and protect yourself by reviewing your credit files. If you find an inaccuracy, contact the creditor or the credit reporting agency to correct it immediately.
3. Pay all your bills on time.
Lenders look for patterns and love to see a solid history of paying every bill on time. Any late credit card payments, collections, or bankruptcies can significantly lower your credit score -- so be punctual with each bill payment to raise your score.
Check out these 5 Ways to Beat Your Credit Card Debt for some score raising tips!
4. Watch your debt.
Don't run your credit balances close to your limit! Staying below half your available credit limit can help to improve your score sooner. For example, if you have a credit card with a $5,000 limit, try to keep the balance owed below $2,500.
5. Avoid applying for credit.
When you apply for credit, a "hard query" may be made to your report by the lender to check your creditworthiness. Too many "hard queries" in a short period of time can lower your score, so stick to applying for credit only when you need it. Checking your own score won't lower your score since this is a "soft query". Applying for a lot of credit may be interpreted as a sign of financial difficulty, which can impact your score as well.
6. Give yourself some time.
Time can improve your credit score, especially if you can establish a long history of paying bills on time and being responsible with credit. Negative factors such as bankruptcies, collections, or foreclosures drop off your report after a number of years, depending on your home province or territory.
7. Don't close old accounts.
It may seem counterintuitive to us, but unused credit is a good thing in the eyes of a credit reporting agency and lowering the amount of money you can borrow relative to your debt can impact your score.
Monday, November 23, 2009
Mortgage Rate Article
Consumers need to prepare for higher mortgage rates next year: advisers
Kristine Owram, THE CANADIAN PRESSTORONTO - The Canadian housing market has seen a stronger and faster rebound from the recession than any other segment of the economy, due in large part to enticingly low mortgage rates.
But rates this low - 5.59 per cent for a five-year fixed-rate mortgage and 2.25 per cent for a five-year variable-rate mortgage at one bank - can't last forever, and experts are advising borrowers to prepare for higher rates within the next 12 months.
"We have to realize those are emergency interest rates," said CIBC economist Benjamin Tal.
"Interest rates will rise - it's just a question of time, it's not a question of if. And if that's the case, we have to make sure that when we borrow this money we can afford the same mortgage 200 or 300 basis points higher. That's the key responsibility now of borrowers and lenders, to make sure that what we do, we do it in a prudent way."
Depending on whether they are fixed or floating-rate, mortgages are tied to either the bond market or the Bank of Canada's key lending rate, which are closely related. The central bank's rate has been sitting at a record low of 0.25 per cent since the spring and it has said it will keep it steady until at least next June to help stimulate the ailing economy.
On Wednesday, three of Canada's biggest banks - Royal Bank (TSX:RY), Bank of Montreal (TSX:BMO) and TD Bank (TSX:TD) - announced that they will cut posted rates for fixed-rate mortgages by up to 0.25 percentage points. On Thursday, CIBC (TSX:CM), Laurentian Bank (TSX:LB) and Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) followed suit by cutting their five-year mortgages by 0.25 per cent to 5.59 per cent, in the case of CIBC and Scotiabank, and 5.6 per cent at Laurentian.
But mortgage lenders agree that rates are nearing the bottom and will begin to rise again in 2010.
"The only sort of assurance that you hear in the marketplace is the Bank of Canada's going to try to maintain that rate until June. But past that, there are already warnings that if there need to be adjustments, the adjustments could be a little more abrupt than we've been used to in the past," said Martin Beaudry, vice-president of retail lending at ING Direct.
CIBC's Tal said that with rates this low, "it's almost a crime not to take a mortgage out," but warned that consumers need to be prepared for higher interest rates later on and what this could mean for their personal finances.
For example, a $200,000 mortgage with a term of 25 years and an interest rate of 2.25 per cent has monthly payments of $876.26. For the same mortgage with an interest rate of five per cent, the monthly payments become $1,169.18.
And this doesn't only apply to variable-rate mortgages, but to fixed-rate mortgages that are coming up for renewal, Tal said.
"It's not just variable rates, because five years from now the rates will be much higher, so you don't want to find yourself in a situation five years from now where you can't afford the house," he said.
"It's important to be extremely prudent and not to be totally blinded by those rates."
Both John Turner, director of mortgages at BMO, and ING's Beaudry said they've seen an increase in the number of people opting for fixed-rate mortgages to ensure some certainty when interest rates begin to rise again.
"In the first six months (of 2009), we saw well over 60 per cent of our applications being for variable-rate mortgages, and in particular in our case five-year variable-rate mortgages," Beaudry said.
"Towards the latter part of the summer, until now, the trend has reversed to where we're seeing about 70 to 80 per cent of our applications going for five-year fixed-rate mortgages."
Turner agreed, saying 60 to 70 per cent of BMO's customers were opting for variable-rate mortgages in the past, but lately "there's been a slight shift to fixed."
The key is finding a monthly payment you feel comfortable with and then thinking ahead - if you have a variable-rate mortgage, or a fixed-rate mortgage that's coming up for renewal soon, will you be able to afford to continue to make your payments if interest rates go up?
Turner said now is the time to begin making more frequent payments, while interest rates are still low, if you can afford it. This will reduce your principal more quickly and will mean lower payments down the road when interest rates are higher.
"For example, if you have a $200,000 mortgage and you opt to pay biweekly (instead of monthly), you knock four years off your mortgage and save about $47,000 in interest just by doing that," he said.
As well, if you have a variable-rate mortgage, it's important to keep an eye on interest rates and lock in if you feel they're getting too high, said Jim Murphy, president and CEO of the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals, or CAAMP.
The association also recommends that homeowners renew their mortgages before the scheduled renewal dates given the current low level of interest rates.
However, Murphy predicted that when interest rates do start to go up it will be a gradual climb, and Canadians shouldn't worry about a sudden jump in the number of people who are forced to default on their mortgages.
"I think people are predicting that rates will start to increase in 2010 at some point in time, but it'll be more of a slow, measured increase as it goes up, and most Canadians who have variable products will have the ability to lock in," Murphy said.
CAAMP says the volumes of residential mortgage credit outstanding is forecast to grow by seven per cent between 2009 and 2011, and is predicted to pass $1 trillion in 2010. The average mortgage interest rate was 4.55 per cent as of October, down from 5.41 per cent a year ago.
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Home Sale Hit Record High;Outlook upgraded
Homes sales hit record high; outlook upgraded
John Morrissy, Financial Post
OTTAWA -- Home sales hit a new record high in October, leading the Canadian Real Estate Association to boost its outlook for 2009 and 2010.
Resale home activity was up 41.5% in the month, reaching a total of 42,288 units. On a seasonally adjusted basis, homes sold on the Multiple Listing Service totalled 45,818 units in October.
"Low interest rates and upbeat consumer confidence continue to release the pent-up demand that built late last year and earlier this year," said CREA president Dale Ripplinger. "The release of that pent-up demand has boosted national sales activity to new heights and is drawing down inventories."
Further, said Millan Mulraine, economics strategist at TDSecurities, "we expect the recent strong gains in the housing market to remain largely intact, though we suspect that the back-to-back double-digit advance in sales seen earlier this year may not be repeated."
As a result of the sector's strong performance, CREA increased its forecast for sales in 2009 by 6.6% to 460,200 units. For 2010, the national industry group said sales would rise 7% to 492,300 units.
The average home price also reached new highs in October, climbing to $341,079, up 20.7% from a year ago. A separate measure, which limits its focus to Canada's major markets, showed the average price rising 22.1% to $373,095.
At the same time, the sharp rise in housing demand has eaten into inventories. With 194,994 homes listed for sale in Canada at the end of October, the number of listings is 20.8% below the peak reached in October of last year.
It is the sixth month in a row in which inventories have fallen from year-ago levels, bringing supply to 4.1 months on a seasonally adjusted basis, the lowest level in more than two years.
CREA chief economist Gregory Klump said new listings are expected to rise in coming months in response to headline average price increases.
New monthly sales records were set in about one fifth of local markets in October, including Toronto, Montreal and Ottawa. On a provincial basis, new records were set in British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec, largely as a result of increased activity in those provinces' major markets.
Canwest News Service
John Morrissy, Financial Post
OTTAWA -- Home sales hit a new record high in October, leading the Canadian Real Estate Association to boost its outlook for 2009 and 2010.
Resale home activity was up 41.5% in the month, reaching a total of 42,288 units. On a seasonally adjusted basis, homes sold on the Multiple Listing Service totalled 45,818 units in October.
"Low interest rates and upbeat consumer confidence continue to release the pent-up demand that built late last year and earlier this year," said CREA president Dale Ripplinger. "The release of that pent-up demand has boosted national sales activity to new heights and is drawing down inventories."
Further, said Millan Mulraine, economics strategist at TDSecurities, "we expect the recent strong gains in the housing market to remain largely intact, though we suspect that the back-to-back double-digit advance in sales seen earlier this year may not be repeated."
As a result of the sector's strong performance, CREA increased its forecast for sales in 2009 by 6.6% to 460,200 units. For 2010, the national industry group said sales would rise 7% to 492,300 units.
The average home price also reached new highs in October, climbing to $341,079, up 20.7% from a year ago. A separate measure, which limits its focus to Canada's major markets, showed the average price rising 22.1% to $373,095.
At the same time, the sharp rise in housing demand has eaten into inventories. With 194,994 homes listed for sale in Canada at the end of October, the number of listings is 20.8% below the peak reached in October of last year.
It is the sixth month in a row in which inventories have fallen from year-ago levels, bringing supply to 4.1 months on a seasonally adjusted basis, the lowest level in more than two years.
CREA chief economist Gregory Klump said new listings are expected to rise in coming months in response to headline average price increases.
New monthly sales records were set in about one fifth of local markets in October, including Toronto, Montreal and Ottawa. On a provincial basis, new records were set in British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec, largely as a result of increased activity in those provinces' major markets.
Canwest News Service
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